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International Journal of Public Health

Frontiers Media SA

Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match International Journal of Public Health's content profile, based on 18 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Prevalence and Functional Outcomes of Post-Exertional Malaise among Adults with prior COVID-19: Results from a Representative Survey of New York City Residents

Packard, S. E.; Russo, T.; Parrott, J.; Sisti, J.; Lans, A.

2026-09-02 public and global health 10.64898/2026.08.31.26356614 medRxiv
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Objectives: To estimate the prevalence of Post-Exertional Malaise (PEM) among adults with prior COVID-19 and associated mental health and disability outcomes. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of data from a survey of 9,620 adults with prior COVID-19 in New York City, collected May - June 2024. PEM was measured with the DePaul Symptom Questionnaire - Post Exertional Malaise, categorized by symptom duration (< 14 vs. [&ge;]14 hours). Weighted prevalence estimates were stratified by socio-demographic and clinical characteristics. Modified Poisson regression was used to assess the association of PEM with depression, anxiety, and disability. Results: The prevalence of PEM symptoms was 20.9% overall and 4.0% with symptom duration [&ge;]14 hours, representing over 800,000 New Yorkers affected and over 150,000 who meet a diagnostic criterion for ME/CFS. PEM prevalence was higher among women, transgender and non-binary adults, people of color, and lower educational attainment, chronic comorbidities, or disabilities. PEM was associated with 3 - 4 times higher prevalence of mental health outcomes and 4 - 5 times higher disability scores. Conclusions: PEM symptoms were common and strongly associated with disability and adverse mental health. Screening, pathways to care, and supportive policies are needed to mitigate long-term consequences, particularly among marginalized populations.

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Using Social Determinants of Health ICD-10 Z-codes to Identify Non-Medical Factors among Asthma Hospitalizations in the United States, 2016-2022

Wang, N.; Huang, H.; Chu, J.; Hsu, J.

2026-08-22 public and global health 10.64898/2026.08.19.26360844 medRxiv
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Objectives: Healthcare data can reveal actionable opportunities to prevent asthma hospitalizations. Limited national-level data exist regarding social determinants of health (SDOH) and asthma hospitalizations. We examined SDOH-related International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) Z-codes in national administrative data on asthma hospitalizations and described patient- and hospital-level characteristics associated with documented SDOH Z-codes. Methods: Pooled cross-sectional analysis of 2016-2022 Nationwide Inpatient Sample for 200,452 U.S. hospitalizations (all ages) with a primary diagnosis of asthma. Presence of SDOH Z-codes (codes Z55-Z65) assessed by descriptive statistics and multivariable logistic regression to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for associations between SDOH Z-codes and patient- and hospital-level characteristics. Results: In unweighted analyses, 3,149 asthma hospitalizations had SDOH Z-codes (1.57%). The most common SDOH Z-codes were homelessness (Z59.0; n=942) and unemployment (Z56.0; n=349). Weighted chi-square analyses found all selected variables were associated with asthma hospitalization SDOH Z-code documentation. Logistic regression results varied; adjusted odds for SDOH Z-code documentation were higher for asthma hospitalizations involving male patients (aOR=1.51; 95% CI, 1.39-1.63; P < .001) compared to female patients. Asthma hospitalizations involving rural hospitals had lower odds of SDOH Z-codes documentation (aOR=0.57; 95% CI, 0.47-0.70; P < .001) compared to urban teaching hospitals. Conclusions: National 2016-2022 data indicate housing- and employment-related Z-codes were the most commonly documented SDOH within asthma hospitalizations. Future analyses could consider establishing causality and exploring how relationships between these SDOH may be used by public health practitioners and others to improve program interventions.

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Rising rates of young people Not in Education, Employment, or Training (NEET) explained by higher prevalence of physical and psychological ill health: a 15-year UK study

Wels, J.; Kelly, D.; Smeeth, D.; Bridger Staatz, C.; Li, Z.; Ploubidis, G.; Chaturvedi, N.; Patalay, P.

2026-08-12 public and global health 10.64898/2026.08.11.26360217 medRxiv
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Background: Rising rates of young people Not in Education, Employment, or Training (NEET) in the UK have recently coincided with declining youth physical and mental health but no study has asked whether this reflects a growing proportion of young people with health problems (prevalence) or those with health problems becoming more likely to be NEET (penalty). Methods: Using 15 years of Understanding Society data (2009-23), we analysed 15,242 respondents aged 16-24 (66,160 observations). We employed three complementary approaches: descriptive trends, Blinder-Oaxaca-Kitagawa (BO) probit decomposition comparing 2009-2013 and 2019-2023 against a 2014-2018 reference period, and fixed-effects (FE) Poisson models with lagged health status. Exposures included self-reported health conditions or disability (SRHD), psychological distress , diagnosed conditions and socio-demographic factors. Findings: NEET rates were lowest in 2014-18 (10.5-11.5%) and higher in 2009-13 (12-15%) and 2019-23 (15-16%). Higher prevalence of SRHD, psychological distress, diagnosed depression and multimorbidity explained changes in NEET prevalence across both the 2009-13 to 2014-2018 and 2014-18 to 2019-23 periods. No change in penalty was observed for any health variable across periods, except for an increase in the penalty for SRHD between the 2009-13 to 2014-18 periods. Interpretation: Rising NEET rates among UK youth are driven largely by more young people having physical and psychological ill health. Whilst labour market and education accommodations remain important, reducing NEET rates will require reversing the decline in youth health, not just accommodating it.

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Health, behavioural, and social correlates of depressive symptoms among Brazilian adults: a preregistered exposure-wide association study with discovery and replication in two independent nationally representative cross-sectional surveys

Santos, B. d. S.; Passos, I. C.

2026-08-27 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.08.24.26361203 medRxiv
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Depressive disorders are one of the most common psychiatric conditions worldwide. We systematically screened a prespecified exposure panel for associations with depressive symptoms and evaluated cross-wave replication among Brazilian adults. This preregistered exposure-wide association study used independent, nationally representative cross-sectional samples from the 2013 (n=60,202) and 2019 (n=88,531) Brazilian National Health Surveys. 31 general exposures were assessed with survey-weighted regression; four occupational exposures were analysed separately. The primary outcome was a positive Patient Health Questionnaire-9 screen (PHQ-9 >=10); continuous PHQ-9 score was secondary. Discoveries required a Benjamini-Yekutieli-adjusted p<0.05 in 2013; replication required the same coefficient direction and raw p<0.05 in 2019. 21 general exposures were primary discoveries, and all replicated. Associations spanned health status/health care (n=11), behaviour/participation (n=5), and social/material context (n=5). Poor or very poor vs very good self-rated health showed the largest association (adjusted prevalence ratio 10.97, 95% CI 8.79-13.69 in 2013; 12.33, 10.19-14.92 in 2019). Replicated correlates also included morbidity, smoking, prolonged television viewing, diet, group activities, education, income, sanitation, and nearby public space. All 25 continuous-outcome discoveries replicated. All four occupational associations retained the same direction and raw p<0.05 in 2019. This recurrent profile provides a reproducible map for prioritizing longitudinal research but, because both waves were cross-sectional and exposures were modelled separately, does not establish temporality, causality, or independent effects.

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Adolescent health and Not in Education, Employment or Training (NEET) in young adulthood: Evidence from a UK prospective longitudinal study

Kelly, D. P.; Wels, J.; Patalay, P.

2026-08-17 public and global health 10.64898/2026.08.13.26360381 medRxiv
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Background: High rates of young people who are not in education, employment or training (NEET) are a major societal concern in the UK. Whilst other studies have highlighted that adolescent health can predict NEET status in young adulthood, robust and recent longitudinal evidence remains limited. Methods: This study used data from the Millennium Cohort Study, a longitudinal study of people born in the UK in the early 2000s, to estimate the extent to which mental health conditions, physical health conditions and health behaviours during adolescence predict NEET status in early adulthood (median age: 23). Co-occurrence of exposures was also considered and population attributable fractions were calculated to account for differences in exposure prevalence. Results: Among 8,374 young people, 12.5% were NEET at age 23; approximately two thirds were seeking work and one third were economically inactive. Estimates adjusted for demographic factors indicated that multiple health exposures increased risk of being NEET at age 23, with mental health conditions predicting greater risk than physical health conditions and health behaviours. For instance, a longstanding mental health condition more than doubled the risk of being NEET (adjusted relative risk [aRR] = 2.39, 95% CIs = 1.85, 3.09), while autism (aRR = 3.60, 95% CIs = 2.69, 4.83) and ADHD (aRR = 3.25, 95% CIs = 2.38, 4.44) more than tripled the risk. A greater number of reported adolescent mental health conditions was associated with greater risk of being NEET in young adulthood. Obesity predicted being NEET at age 23 (aRR = 1.54, 95% CIs = 1.18, 2.01) and obesity accompanied by a mental health condition further increased risk (aRR = 2.01, 95% CIs = 1.38, 2.93). Follow-up analyses indicated that associations between adolescent mental health and young adult NEET status were more pronounced for females than males and for the economically inactive than those seeking work. Conclusions: Findings indicate that adolescent health, especially mental health, strongly predicts being NEET in early adulthood. Early, integrated health and education interventions may help reduce later educational and labour market disengagement.

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Programmatic nutritional support and tuberculosis treatment outcomes: a natural experiment in West Africa

Dogo, M. F.; Fiogbe, A. A.; Eng, A.; Dauphinais, M.; Cintron, C.; Ate, S.; Adjonou, C.; Agossou, K.; Karoly, M.; Liu, A. F.; Pan, S. J.; Esse, M.; Ade, B.; Sdjoh, K. S.; Affolabi, D.; Gupte, A. N.; Boura, K. G.; Sinha, P.

2026-08-22 nutrition 10.64898/2026.08.19.26360811 medRxiv
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BACKGROUND: Undernutrition is the leading risk factor for tuberculosis (TB), yet evidence on programmatic nutritional support during treatment is limited. Benin and Togo are neighboring West African counties. Benin provides in-kind food support to all people with drug-susceptible TB; neighbouring Togo does not. This created the opportunity for a natural experiment. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study at 13 sites in Benin and Togo (September 2023-June 2024). We compared recipients of nutritional support with non-recipients, using Beninese non-recipients as an internal comparison. Primary outcomes were [&ge;]5% weight gain at month 2, change in 6-minute walk test (6MWT) distance, and pill-count adherence. We used multivariable regression adjusted for pre-specified covariates. RESULTS: Of 769 participants, 450 received nutritional support and 319 did not. Recipients had higher odds of [&ge;]5% weight gain at month 2 (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.57, 95% CI 1.13-2.19) and [&ge;]10% at month 6 (aOR 1.92, 1.35-2.74), greater 6MWT improvement (adjusted {beta} 40.6 m, 26.5-54.6), and higher adherence (aOR 3.43, 1.81-6.51). Mortality was lower among recipients (aOR 0.32, 0.11-0.93). Sputum conversion and treatment success did not differ. Beninese non-recipients resembled Togolese participants across outcomes. CONCLUSION: Programmatic nutritional support was associated with improved weight gain, functional recovery, adherence, and lower mortality during TB treatment, supporting its integration into national TB programmes.

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Longitudinal associations among post-displacement stressors, physical activity, and mental health in Farsi- and Dari-speaking refugees and asylum-seekers in Australia

Kurt, G.; Rostami, R.; McKeon, G.; Rosenbaum, S.; Solaimani, J.; Berle, D.; Silove, D.; Hadzi-Pavlovic, D.; Steel, Z.; Wells, R.

2026-08-12 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.08.11.26360157 medRxiv
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Background: Post-displacement stressors affect mental health among refugees and asylum-seekers, yet the behavioral mechanisms underpinning this relationship remain understudied. Objective: To examine the role of physical activity in the relationship between post-displacement stressors and mental health outcomes among Farsi/Dari speaking refugees and asylum-seekers in Australia. Methods: Data were drawn from a longitudinal community-based cohort study of 343 Farsi and Dari speaking refugees and asylum-seekers (80 female, 23.3%) in Australia conducted between 2017 and 2019. Data from post-displacement stressors measured at the baseline, physical activity at one-year follow-up, and mental health outcomes (symptoms of posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) and depression and personal mastery) at two-year follow-up were included in the study. Longitudinal path analyses were conducted to test the mediating role of moderate-to-vigorous physical activity and sedentary behaviour in the associations between post-displacement stressors and mental health outcomes. Results: After controlling for baseline levels of depression and PTSD, traumatic events, and key demographic characteristics, post-displacement stressors significantly predicted less moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA) ({beta} = -0.18, 95% CI [-0.292, -0.056]) and more sedentary behavior ({beta} = 0.13, 95% CI [0.011, 0.243]) at one-year follow-up. Less MVPA, in turn, significantly predicted greater symptoms of depression ({beta} = -0.21, 95% CI [-0.353, -0.060]) and lower level of personal mastery ({beta} = 0.19, 95% CI [0.033, 0.327]) while greater time spent in sedentary behavior predicted greater symptoms of depression ({beta} = 0.21, 95% CI [0.060, 0.359]), PTSD ({beta} = 0.24, 95% CI [0.096, 0.386], and lower personal mastery (({beta} = -0.18, 95% CI [-0.336, -0.011]). Significant indirect associations were observed between post-displacement stressors and depressive symptoms and personal mastery through MVPA, and between post-displacement stressors and depressive and PTSD symptoms through sedentary behaviour. Conclusion: These findings provide the first longitudinal evidence that moderate-to-vigorous physical activity and sedentary behavior partially explain the relationship between post-displacement stressors and subsequent mental health outcomes among refugees and asylum-seekers. Addressing these modifiable behaviors may represent targets for future intervention research to promote mental health during resettlement. Keywords: refugees; physical activity; post-displacement stressors; mental health

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Household hunger trajectories and mental health symptoms of adolescent girls and young women in rural South Africa: an HPTN-068 longitudinal study

Chakraborty, R.; Rosenberg, M.; Weigel, M. M.; Pettifor, A.; Kahn, K.; Gomez-Olive, F. X.

2026-09-03 public and global health 10.64898/2026.09.01.26361988 medRxiv
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Purpose Despite the high documented prevalence of hunger and poor mental health in adolescent girls and young women (AGYW) in South Africa, this relationship remains understudied, with existing studies limited by their cross-sectional designs. This longitudinal study aimed to identify the association of hunger trajectories with anxiety and depressive symptoms, and hope in AGYW. Methods We used secondary data from the HIV Prevention Trials Network (HPTN) -068 conducted in rural Agincourt, South Africa. Complete data from 1779 AGYW collected at baseline (2011/12) and three annual follow-up visits were used. Hunger trajectories, measured using the Household Hunger Scale, were estimated via Group-Based Trajectory Modelling. Self-reported incident anxiety and depressive symptoms and hope were assessed based on AGYWs last two follow-up visits. Covariate adjusted modified Poisson regression models estimated the association between hunger trajectories and incident anxiety symptoms, incident depressive symptoms, and hope. Results Moderate-severe hunger was prevalent in 11.0%, 10.8%, and 6.0% of the households at baseline, follow-up 1, and 2, respectively. Incident anxiety symptoms were reported by 4.5%, incident depressive symptoms by 20.0% and hopelessness by 52.8% of the AGYW. Two hunger trajectories were identified- no hunger (82%) and marginal hunger (18%). Hunger trajectories were not associated with incident anxiety symptoms [RR:1.09, 95% CI: 0.55, 2.18], incident depressive symptoms [RR: 0.97; 95% CI: 0.72, 1.33] nor hope [RR: 1.00; 95% CI: 0.81, 1.23] in AGYW. Conclusion Better understanding of the factors that promote resiliency and mental health of AGYW in this setting is warranted to inform the design of interventions.

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Patterns of Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder and Associated Cognitive Factors Among Flood Victims in Hanang District, Tanzania

Mwana, E. M.; Katalambula, L.; Emidi, B.; Nyundo, A.

2026-09-03 public and global health 10.64898/2026.09.01.26361894 medRxiv
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Background Floods are among the most devastating natural disasters worldwide and are increasingly associated with adverse mental health outcomes, particularly Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD). In December 2023, Hanang District in northern Tanzania experienced catastrophic mud floods that resulted in extensive loss of life, destruction of property, displacement of households, and disruption of livelihoods. While emergency humanitarian responses focused primarily on physical needs, limited evidence exists regarding the long-term psychological consequences among survivors. Therefore, this study aimed to determine the patterns of PTSD manifestations and assess cognitive factors associated with PTSD symptoms among flood victims in Hanang District, Tanzania. Methods A community-based cross-sectional study was conducted among 360 flood victims one year after the disaster. PTSD symptoms were assessed using the PTSD Checklist for DSM-5 (PCL-5). Descriptive statistics summarized PTSD severity, while chi-square tests and regression analyses examined associations between socio-demographic characteristics and PTSD manifestations. Cognitive factors were assessed based on participants' exposure to traumatic experiences and perceptions of traumatic events. Results The mean PCL-5 score was 39.2 (SD = 20.6), indicating a high burden of psychological distress. Approximately 45% of respondents had severe PTSD symptoms (PCL-5 [&ge;]45), while another substantial proportion demonstrated moderate symptom severity. PTSD manifestations varied significantly by geographical location (p < 0.001), household income (p = 0.011), and marital status (p = 0.002). Age positively predicted PTSD severity ({beta} = 0.019, p = 0.001), whereas household income negatively predicted symptom severity ({beta} = -0.297, p = 0.001). Exposure to natural disasters constituted the predominant cognitive factor, with 45% directly experiencing the flood and 38.3% witnessing the event. Exposure to secondary traumatic experiences through witnessing or learning about violent events was also common. Cognitive trauma exposure demonstrated a significant association with PTSD symptoms ({chi}2, p < 0.001). Conclusion PTSD remains highly prevalent among flood survivors in Hanang district. Both direct and indirect trauma exposure significantly contributed to PTSD manifestations. Comprehensive disaster recovery programmes should integrate trauma-focused psychological services, cognitive behavioural interventions, routine PTSD screening, and community-based psychosocial support alongside socioeconomic recovery initiatives.

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Longitudinal Tracking and Construct Validity of a Single-Item Physical Activity Measure in the Womens Healthy Ageing Project

Corcoran, D.; Szoeke, C.; Apostolopoulos, V.; Feehan, J.

2026-08-31 public and global health 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361567 medRxiv
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This study aimed to quantify the longitudinal tracking and cross-sectional construct validity of a single-item questionnaire measuring recreational physical activity frequency (RPAF) in the Womens Healthy Ageing Project. At baseline, 474 participants aged 45-55 reported RPAF from 1993 to 2014. Longitudinal tracking of the RPAF item was assessed as a consecutive-wave and baseline-referenced measure using linear weighted kappa (LWK), Spearman correlations, exact agreement and within-one-category agreement. Construct validity in the form of convergent and known-group validity was assessed using the International Physical Activity Questionnaire (IPAQ) leisure activity domains, Short Form 36 physical function (SF-36-PF) subscale, Timed Up and Go (TUG), hand grip strength (HGS) and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR). 474 participants provided baseline RPAF data. Pairwise longitudinal samples ranged from 176 to 459 across the study. Consecutive-wave LWK ranged from 0.38 to 0.49, and Spearman correlations ranged from 0.44 to 0.57. Exact and within-category agreement ranged from 41.4%-50.8% and 72.0%-79.0%. Baseline-referenced LWK ranged from 0.22 to 0.47, with Spearman correlations of 0.29 to 0.56. RPAF correlated with total IPAQ leisure score (rs = 0.60), IPAQ walking score (rs = 0.58), SF-36-PF (rs = 0.33) and TUG score (rs = -0.25). No significant correlation was identified between RPAF, HGS or WhTR. RPAF discriminated known groups for WHO guideline-sufficient activity, SF-36-PF, and TUG fall risk. The RPAF item demonstrated fair-to-moderate agreement in consecutive waves, with weaker baseline-referenced tracking. Cross-sectional validity was highest with total IPAQ leisure activity. The item may provide a pragmatic measure for RPAF in womens cohort studies.

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Mental health contact gaps among adults in Peru: a cross-sectional analysis of a nationally representative survey

Ruiz-Grosso, P.; Macedo-Orrego, L.; Rodriguez-Vargas, D.; Rivera-Encinas, M.; Arosemena, A.; Carazas-Vera, M.; Sagastegui, A.; Zevallos-Bustamante, S.

2026-08-22 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.08.19.26360808 medRxiv
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Objective. To estimate lifetime and 12 month mental health contact gaps among Peruvian adults with survey-defined mental disorders, and to describe inequalities in contact, perceived need for care, and mental health service use. Methods. We analyzed the information for adults of the 2022 Peruvian National Mental Health Survey, a cross-sectional household survey. The primary outcome was the survey-weighted proportion of adults with a 12 month mental disorder who reported no contact with an included source of mental health-related care during that period; the lifetime contact gap was descriptive. Perceived need was assessed using two derived 12 month perceived-need measures based on direct ENSM variables and service contact routing items. Analyses incorporated weights, strata, and clusters. Adjusted prevalence ratios were estimated using survey weighted Poisson models. Results. The dataset contained information on 13,840 individuals; 13,833 had complete survey-design information. Contact gap denominators were 3,927 for lifetime disorders and 1,649 for 12-month disorders. The lifetime and 12-month contact gaps were 61.0% (95% CI 58.4-63.7) and 84.5% (95% CI 81.5-87.6), respectively. Rural estimates exceeded urban estimates in both periods; after adjustment, poverty and rural residence were associated with the lifetime gap, and extreme poverty with the 12-month gap. Among individuals meeting survey-based criteria for one or more 12-month mental disorders, 37.3% (95% CI 33.4-41.4) reported self-perceived need, whereas 25.6% (95% CI 21.8-29.8) reported that need had been identified by others. Annual psychological and psychiatric service use was 3.7% and 1.1%, respectively. Conclusions. Mental health contact gaps were high, particularly for one or more 12-month mental disorders, and were associated with social and territorial variables. These contact measures do not establish adequate, continuous, or effective treatment, which needs to be addressed to understand the impact of the Peruvian mental health reform.

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A Randomized Controlled Trial Evaluating a Community-Based, Family Network Heart Health Intervention - the SERVE OC Trial: Design, Rationale and Baseline Findings

Boden-Albala, B.; Wing, J.; Landry, M. J.; Castro, M.; Gutierrez, D.; Cardenas, C.; Rousseau, J.; Rahmani, A. M.; Chavez, A.; Ding, X.; Kurzman, A.; Albala, B.

2026-09-02 public and global health 10.64898/2026.08.31.26361871 medRxiv
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Background: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) disproportionately burdens underserved communities, where social determinants of health (SDOH) perpetuate persistent disparities. Family-based interventions leveraging social support represent a promising yet understudied approach. We describe the rationale, design, and methods of the Skills-based Educational strategies for the Reduction of Vascular Events in Orange County (SERVE OC) RCT and present baseline characteristics of enrolled families. Methods: SERVE OC is a 2-arm RCT of 190 Latino and Vietnamese families (486 individuals) randomized to the family-based intervention or individual self-management. The intervention was grounded in social network theory while employing community engaged strategies. Primary outcomes include achieving ideal cardiovascular health (CVH) defined by AHA Life's Essential 8 (LE8) and systolic blood pressure reduction at 12, 24, and 36 months. Baseline assessments include demographics, LE8, psychosocial factors, food security, and SDOH. Descriptive statistics and regression analyses examined cohort characteristics and associations between SDOH, food security, and LE8. Results: Over 83% of participants had suboptimal LE8 scores. Average adult total LE8 scores were 66.61 {plus minus}11.96, with physical activity as the weakest domain, compared to an average of 76.52{plus minus}10.15 in children. Greater SDOH burden and food security were associated with significantly lower odds of ideal CVH and lower LE8 scores respectively. Conclusions: SERVE OC demonstrates the feasibility of enrolling families in community-engaged RCT targeting CVD disparities in underserved population. Baseline findings confirm substantial CVD risk and SDOH burden underscoring the need for multi-level, culturally tailored interventions. Trials results will inform scalable, family-focused strategies for CVD prevention across the life course. Clinical Trial Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov/; Unique Identifier: NCT05641519.

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Causal Effects of Physical Activity and Sedentary Behavior on Healthcare Costs

Mäkelä, E.; Kari, J. T.; Van Genechten, S.; Bottas, R.; Sillanpää, E.; Joensuu, L.

2026-08-19 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.08.18.26360577 medRxiv
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Importance: While increased physical activity (PA) and decreased sedentary behavior (SB) are associated with favorable health outcomes, evidence regarding their causal effects on healthcare costs remains limited. Objective: To assess the causal effects of PA and SB on healthcare costs. Design: A two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study. Setting: Separate, non-overlapping cohorts with genetic instruments for self-reported and device-based PA and SB, and healthcare costs. Participants: The instruments used to assess self-reported PA were derived from a genome-wide meta-analysis of 606,820 individuals across 51 cohorts. Two large genome-wide association studies (GWASs) were used for self-reported SB (leisure screen time N=526,725; television watching N=408,815), while accelerometer-based GWASs (N=89,683-91,105) were used for device-based PA and SB. The instruments used to assess the outcome data were obtained from the FinnGen cohort (N=373,160). Exposures: Genetically predicted PA and SB. Main Outcomes and Measures: Validated genetic instruments for log-transformed annual healthcare costs derived from registers, including primary care, secondary care, and medication costs. Inverse variance weighting was used as the primary MR measure, while the sensitivity analyses included MR-Egger, weighted median, simple mode, weighted mode, F-score, Cochran's Q, and leave-one-out analysis. Results: Higher genetically predicted self-reported PA was associated with lower healthcare costs (causal estimate, {beta} = -0.166; 95% CI, -0.270 to -0.062). In contrast, higher genetically predicted SB (leisure screen time or television watching) was associated with higher healthcare costs across self-reported datasets ({beta} = 0.097; 95% CI, 0.064 to 0.130; {beta} = 0.114; 95% CI, 0.063 to 0.165, respectively). No associations were observed for device-based PA ({beta} = -0.014; 95% CI, -0.040 to 0.014) or SB ({beta} = -0.009; 95% CI, -0.197 to 0.179). Conclusions and Relevance: Findings based on genetically predicted PA and SB support a causal association between these behaviors and healthcare costs, suggesting that increasing population's leisure-time PA and reducing SB may decrease healthcare expenditure. This highlights the importance of promoting PA for both population health and long-term sustainability of healthcare systems. However, causal evidence remains partly limited, particularly for device-based measures of these behaviors.

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Psychosocial Health Inequalities and Socioeconomic Deprivation Gradients Among Preschool Children in Care and Not in Care: An Administrative Health Data Study

Bradford, D. R. R.; Abou Saab, Y.; McMahon, A. D.; Leyland, A. H.; Allik, M.; Brown, D.

2026-08-27 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.08.25.26361327 medRxiv
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Importance: Preschool children in care are at high risk for psychosocial health concerns. Population-based evidence is limited. Objective: Estimate prevalence of psychosocial health concerns in children in care and not in care, and assess care-status differences stratified by deprivation. Design: Population-based cross-sectional study using 27-30 Month Health Review data from April 2013 to March 2023. Setting: Universal health review program in Scotland. Participants: 7887 children in care and 445 547 children not in care. Exposures: Care status at review, classified as in care or not. Main Outcomes and Measures: Four outcome categories (emotional, behavioral, and/or attentional; personal and/or social; speech, language, and/or communication; and other developmental concerns) plus an aggregate indicator of any of the four. We estimated adjusted odds ratios between children in care and not in care, including variation with deprivation. Models adjusted for sex, age, ethnicity, and deprivation. Results: Psychosocial health concerns were more common in children in care (2290; 29.0%) than children not in care (77 836; 17.5%; relative risk 1.66). Concerns were more common in children in care across all outcomes. The adjusted odds ratio comparing children in care with children not in care for any recorded concern was 1.86 (95% CI, 1.77-1.96). Adjusted odds ratios varied by outcome from 1.57 (95% CI, 1.49-1.66) for speech, language, and/or communication concerns to 2.49 (95% CI, 2.34-2.66) for emotional, behavioral, and/or attentional concerns. Relative inequities between children in care and not in care decreased with increasing deprivation from aOR of 1.58 (95% CI, 1.45-1.72) in the most deprived fifth of areas to 2.61 (95% CI, 2.25-3.03) in the least deprived fifth. Prevalence of any recorded concern increased with deprivation in both care groups. The relative risk comparing the most deprived with least deprived fifth of areas was 1.46 (95% CI, 1.29-1.66) among children in care and higher at 2.34 (95% CI, 2.29-2.40) among children not in care. Conclusions and Relevance: Psychosocial health inequities are evident at an early age between children in care and not in care, and vary with deprivation. Support for children in care and children living in more deprived areas should be prioritized.

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Mental health and health behaviours in adolescence and risk of being NEET from ages 16 to 24: longitudinal findings from the UKHLS

Li, Z.; Wels, J.; Chaturvedi, N.; Patalay, P.

2026-08-14 public and global health 10.64898/2026.08.12.26360290 medRxiv
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Background: Young people who are Not in Education, Employment, or Training (NEET) represent a major public health and societal challenge. Existing evidence has linked adolescent mental health problems and health risk behaviours to NEET but has largely treated NEET as a static, rather than longitudinal outcome and overlooked the combined effects of multiple health conditions. Methods: Using data from 5,262 participants born between 1993 and 2000 in the UK Household Longitudinal Study, this study examined the independent and combined associations of adolescent mental health problems (emotional symptoms, conduct problems, hyperactivity) and health risk behaviours (regular smoking, drug use, alcohol use, and high social media use) with ever-NEET status, NEET chronicity, and NEET trajectories from ages 16 to 24, using modified Poisson, proportional odds, and multilevel logistic regression models, respectively. Findings: All mental health problems were associated with ever-NEET status (RRs 1.24-1.27) and NEET chronicity (ORs 1.41-1.98); emotional symptoms showed a widening disadvantage with age, while the disadvantages associated with conduct problems and hyperactivity remained stable. Among health risk behaviours, regular smoking showed the strongest and most persistent relationships with NEET (ever-NEET RR 1.54; chronicity OR 1.64); drug use was related to ever-NEET status (RR 1.37) and an increasing disadvantage after age 21-22, while alcohol use and social media use showed limited associations. NEET risk generally increased with the number of co-occurring conditions, but for recurrent NEET (three or more occasions), risk was only elevated at three or more co-occurring conditions. Interpretation: Adolescent health exposures were associated with NEET risk during ages 16-24, but the strength and pattern varied by exposure and outcome, offering potential insights into the timing and emphasis of any interventions.

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Ambient PM2.5 Concentration and the Cardiovascular Response to Exercise Training: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Across Global Pollution Gradients

Donaldson, J. A.; Cai, S.; Hansell, A. L.; Vande Hey, J. D.; Panchal, R.; Edwards, J.; Abdelrazik, A. M.; Yates, T. E.; Ng, A.; O'Driscoll, J.

2026-08-23 public and global health 10.64898/2026.08.20.26360886 medRxiv
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Background: Exercise training is a cornerstone intervention for cardiovascular disease, yet large cohort studies have reported attenuation of physical activity benefits at elevated air pollution concentrations, creating uncertainty around exercise prescription in polluted settings where cardiovascular disease burden is greatest. Objectives: To determine whether ambient PM2.5 concentration modifies the cardiovascular benefits of structured exercise training, using a global sample of trials spanning a >100-fold pollution gradient. Methods: We conducted a systematic review and multilevel meta-analysis of exercise training interventions reporting pre-post changes in systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure (DBP), peak oxygen uptake (VO2Max), or resting heart rate (HR) in adults. Annual ambient PM2.5 concentrations (3.5-283 g/m3) were assigned to each study location from CAMS ERA5 reanalysis data. Three-level random-effects models with cluster-robust variance estimation accounted for arms nested within studies. PM2.5 meta-regression was conducted unadjusted and adjusted for world region, exercise mode, trial duration, and health condition, with subgroup analyses by exercise mode and hypertension status. Results: Across 465 studies (27,629 participants), exercise training produced clinically meaningful benefits for all outcomes (SBP - mmHg, DBP - mmHg, VO2Max +3.2 ml/kg/min, HR - bpm; all p < 0.001), with benefits consistently larger in higher-pollution settings. Hypertensive participants showed the greatest improvements, particularly from aerobic exercise (SBP standardised mean difference 0.396 in the Low vs 1.020 in the High PM2.5 stratum). Although aerobic and resistance training participants experience similar chronic ambient PM2.5 exposure, only aerobic exercise showed a stratum gradient (interaction p = 0.074). Discussion: Exercise training delivers clinically meaningful cardiovascular benefits at every pollution level tested. The larger benefits observed in higher-pollution settings reflect the greater cardiovascular risk burden of those populations, and hypertensive patients stand to gain the most, particularly from aerobic exercise.

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Pathways from Social Support to Cognition Among Adults in the United States: A Longitudinal Mediation Analysis of Perceived Stress and Sleep Quality

Ryu, S.

2026-08-12 public and global health 10.64898/2026.08.10.26360099 medRxiv
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Objective: We examined whether perceived stress and sleep quality mediate the association between social support and later cognition among adults in the United States. Methods: We used longitudinal Midlife in the United States (MIDUS) data. Social support (1995-1996) was modeled as a latent construct indicated by family and friend support. Perceived stress and sleep quality were measured in the MIDUS 2 Biomarker Project (2004-2009), and cognition was assessed in MIDUS 2 and MIDUS 3. Structural equation models evaluated parallel indirect pathways, adjusting for MIDUS 2 cognition and covariates. Results: Higher social support was associated with lower perceived stress ({beta}=-0.32, 95% CI:-0.41, -0.23) and better sleep quality ({beta}=-0.25, 95% CI:-0.35, -0.15). Greater perceived stress was associated with lower cognition ({beta}=-0.06, 95% CI:-0.11, -0.01), whereas sleep quality was not associated with cognition. Direct and total social support-cognition associations were not statistically significant. A small positive indirect association through perceived stress was identified ({beta}=0.02, 95% CI:0.00, 0.04); no indirect association through sleep quality was identified. Conclusions: Findings are consistent with a possible psychosocial pathway through perceived stress, although the effect was modest and total and direct associations were not statistically significant. Sleep quality showed no statistically significant indirect association.

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Translating motivations, barriers, support and information into health behaviour change: community members' response to Australia's National Preventive Health Strategy

Steel, A.; Foley, H.; Adams, J.

2026-08-14 public and global health 10.64898/2026.08.12.26358631 medRxiv
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Preventive health is a crucial health systems component for managing disease burden and achieving health promotion policy goals. However, effective prevention relies on the modification of relevant risks, often requiring systemic health behaviour change. Australia's National Preventive Health Strategy (NPHS) prioritises seven focus areas: tobacco and nicotine, healthy diet, physical activity, cancer screening, immunisation, alcohol and other drugs, and mental health. The readiness of community members in Australia to address health behaviours relating to these areas has not been fully examined. In response, six focus groups were conducted with 27 adults from the Australian general population to explore their perspectives and experiences of preventive health information and behaviours relating to the seven NPHS focus areas. Themes and sub-themes were identified using an applied descriptive framework. Participants described motivations, barriers and experiences surrounding preventive health through the themes of 'Making informed health choices', 'Facilitating behaviour change and the role of support systems' and 'Spreading the preventive health word'. Sub-themes detailed processes of prioritisation, risk-benefit assessment, critical appraisal, sociocultural influence and support-seeking to understand and personalise preventive health information, implement behavioural change, and share information with others. The focus areas participants engaged with most strongly were healthy eating and physical activity, while cancer screening was discussed less often. These findings indicate high preventive health engagement in the Australian community, alongside challenges navigating and adapting relevant information to personal needs. These insights can support policymakers, healthcare providers and others to effectively enact the NPHS through more targeted preventive health information and care delivery.

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Growth in Childhood and Cardiovascular Health in Young Adulthood in Four Low- and Middle- Income Countries: Findings from the COHORTS Consortium

Qabazard, S. J.; Ware, L. J.; Horta, B.; Lima, N. P.; Kroker-Lobos, M. F.; Ramirez-Zea, M.; Carba, D. B.; Bas, I.; Borja, J.; Adair, L. S.; Lee, N.; Perez, T. L.; Richter, L. M.; Norris, S. A.; Flood, D.; Labarthe, D. R.; Stein, A.

2026-08-17 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.08.13.26360417 medRxiv
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Background: Early-life growth is associated with individual cardiometabolic risk factors, but its relationship with overall cardiovascular health (CVH) in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) is unclear. We examined associations of maternal, household, and child growth factors with young-adult CVH across four LMIC birth cohorts. Methods: We analyzed harmonized data from the Consortium of Health-Oriented Research in Transitioning Societies (COHORTS), including 4,582 participants ages 18-30 years from Brazil, Guatemala, the Philippines, and South Africa. CHV was assessed using a modified American Heart Association Life's Simple 7 score based on body mass index (BMI), blood pressure (BP), fasting blood glucose (FBG), and smoking. Site-specific multivariable ordinal logistic regression models evaluated associations between early-life factors and CVH. Results: Men had poorer CVH than women across most sites, largely because of less favorable BP and smoking profiles. Higher birthweight was associated with lower odds of better CVH in Brazil (AOR=0.81; 95% CI: 0.71-0.94) and the Philippines (AOR=0.63; 95% CI: 0.45-0.87). Greater conditional relative weight at 2 years was also inversely associated with CVH in both sites. Birthweight, conditional height and conditional relative weight at 2 years were strongly associated with adult BMI, whereas associations with BP and FBG were weaker. Attained schooling was associated with CVH in Brazil (AOR = 1.13 per year; 95% CI: 1.10-1.16), and the Philippines (AOR = 1.17; 95% CI: 1.10-1.24). Conclusions: Early-life growth patterns and educational attainment are associated with cardiovascular health in young adulthood across diverse LMIC settings, supporting life-course strategies to promote cardiovascular health.

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Chronic Pain in Canadian Children and Adolescents: A National Population-Based Analysis

Dol, J.; Chambers, C.; Parker, J. A.; Cormier, B.; Birnie, K. A.

2026-08-22 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.08.17.26360594 medRxiv
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Background: Chronic pain affects approximately 20% of children and youth worldwide and is associated with mental and physical health impacts. Canada-specific data on the prevalence of chronic pain in children and youth are limited, highlighting the need for current high-quality population-based estimates Aims: The aim of this study is to provide national estimates of self-reported chronic pain among Canadian children and youth by pain type (headache stomach ache, backache), sex (female, male), age group (5-11, 12-17 years) and province or territory. Methods: Publicly available data were used from the 2019 Canadian Health Survey on Children and Youth (CHSCY), a population-based survey conducted by Statistics Canada using a nationally representative sample of Canadian children and youth Results: Overall, headaches were the most commonly reported pain type (15.4%), followed by stomach aches (12.5%), and backaches (11.1%). Prevalence was consistently higher among females than males and among youth than children, with youth girls reporting the highest prevalence across all pain types. Prevalence also varied geographically, with some of the highest estimates observed in the Atlantic Provinces. Conclusions: Chronic pain affects substantial proportions of Canadian children and youth with disparities observed by pain type, sex, age, and geography. These findings under score pediatric chronic pain as an important public health issue and highlight the need for equity-oriented approaches that address the needs of populations experiencing the greatest burden.